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In a sales effectiveness seminar

Question

20 -In a sales effectiveness seminar, a group of sales representatives tried two approaches to selling a

customer a new automobile: the aggressive approach and the passive approach. For 1160 customers, the following record was kept:

Sale No Sale Row Total

Aggressive 253 327 580

Passive 477 103 580

Column Total 730 430 1160

Suppose a customer is selected at random from the 1160 participating customers. Let us use the following notation for events: A = aggressive approach, Pa = passive approach, S = sale, N = no sale. So, P(A) is the probability that an aggressive approach was used, and so on.

(a) Compute P(S), P(S | A), and P(S | Pa). (Enter your answers as fractions.)

P(S) =

P(S | A) =

P(S | Pa) =

(b) Are the events S = sale and Pa = passive approach independent? Explain.

Yes. The two events can occur together. No. The two events cannot occur together.   Yes. P(S) = P(S | Pa). No. P(S) ≠ P(S | Pa).

(c) Compute P(A and S) and P(Pa and S). (Enter your answers as fractions.)

P(A and S) =

P(Pa and S) =

(d) Compute P(N) and P(N | A). (Enter your answers as fractions.)

P(N) =

P(N | A) =

(e) Are the events N = no sale and A aggressive approach independent? Explain.

Yes. The two events can occur together. Yes. P(N) = P(N | A).   No. P(N) ≠ P(N | A). No. The two events cannot occur together.

(f) Compute P(A or S). (Enter your answer as a fraction.)

P(A or S) = 

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19-

A recent study gave the information shown in the table about ages of children receiving toys. The percentages represent all toys sold.

Age (years) Percentage of Toys

2 and under 20%

3-5 17%

6-9 29%

10-12 13&

13 and over 21%

What is the probability that a toy is purchased for someone in the following age ranges?

(a) 6 years old or older

%

(b) 12 years old or younger

%

(c) between 6 and 12 years old

%

(d) between 3 and 9 years old

%

A child between 10 and 12 years old looks at this probability distribution and asks, “Why are people more likely to buy toys for kids older than I am (13 and over) than for kids in my age group (10-12)?” How would you respond?

__________ The 13-and-older category may include children up to 17 or 18 years old. This is a larger category.

__________ The 13-and-older category may include children up to 17 or 18 years old. This is a smaller category.

 
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A particular shoe franchise

Question

21-A particular shoe franchise knows that its stores will not show a profit unless they gross over $940,000

per year. Let A be the event that a new store grosses over $940,000 its first year. Let B be the event that a store grosses over $940,00 its second year. The franchise has an administrative policy of closing a new store if it does not show a profit in either of the first 2 years. The accounting office at the franchise provided the following information: 69% of all the franchise stores show a profit the first year; 75% of all the franchise stores show a profit the second year (this includes stores that did not show a profit the first year); however, 83% of the franchise stores that showed a profit the first year also showed a profit the second year. Compute the following. (Enter your answers to four decimal places.)

(a)    P(A)

(b)    P(B)

(c)    P(B | A)

(d)    P(A and B)

(e)    P(A or B)

(f)    What is the probability that a new store will not be closed after 2 years?

What is the probability that a new store will be closed after 2 years?

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25-

There are nine wires which need to be attached to a circuit board. A robotic device will attach the wires. The wires can be attached in any order, and the production manager wishes to determine which order would be fastest for the robot to use. Use the multiplication rule of counting to determine the number of possible sequences of assembly that must be tested. (Hint: There are nine choices for the first wire, eight for the second wire, seven for the third wire, etc.) 

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26-

Barbara is a research biologist for Green Carpet Lawns. She is studying the effects of fertilizer type, temperature at time of application, and water treatment after application. She has two fertilizer types, three temperature zones, and three water treatments to test. Determine the number of different lawn plots she needs in order to test each fertilizer type, temperature range, and water treatment configuration.

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27-

Compute P7,2

 
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According to Harper’s Index, 60% of all federal inmates

Question

10-According to Harper’s Index, 60% of all federal inmates are serving time for

drug dealing. A random sample of 16 federal inmates is selected.

(a) What is the probability that 8 or more are serving time for drug dealing? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)

(b) What is the probability that 5 or fewer are serving time for drug dealing? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)

(c) What is the expected number of inmates serving time for drug dealing? (Round your answer to one decimal place.)

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15-

The Customer Service Center in a large New York department store has determined that the amount of time spent with a customer about a complaint is normally distributed, with a mean of 10.3 minutes and a standard deviation of 2.0 minutes. What is the probability that for a randomly chosen customer with a complaint, the amount of time spent resolving the complaint will be as follows. (Round your answers to four decimal places.)

(a) less than 10 minutes

(b) longer than 5 minutes

(c) between 8 and 15 minutes

__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

16-

Many people consider their smart phone to be essential! Communication, news, Internet, entertainment, photos, and just keeping current are all conveniently possible with a smart phone. However, the battery better be charged or the phone is useless. Battery life of course depends on the frequency, duration, and type of use. One study involving heavy use of the phones showed the mean of the battery life to be 10.75 hours with a standard deviation of 3.5 hours. Then the battery needs to be recharged. Assume the battery life between charges is normally distributed.

(a) Find the probability that with heavy use, the battery life exceeds 11 hours. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

(b) You are planning your recharging schedule so that the probability your phone will die is no more than 5%. After how many hours should you plan to recharge your phone? (Round your answer to the nearest tenth of an hour.)

hours   

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17-

The University of Montana ski team has thirteen entrants in a men’s downhill ski event. The coach would like the first, second, and third places to go to the team members. In how many ways can the thirteen team entrants achieve first, second, and third places?

 
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During the Computer Daze special promotion

Question

4 -During the Computer Daze special promotion, a customer purchasing a computer and printer is given a

choice of five free software packages. There are 8 different software packages from which to select. How many different groups of software packages can be selected?

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At Litchfield College of Nursing, 82% of incoming freshmen nursing students are female and 18% are male. Recent records indicate that 60% of the entering female students will graduate with a BSN degree, while 80% of the male students will obtain a BSN degree. If an incoming freshman nursing student is selected at random, find the following probabilities. (Enter your answers to three decimal places.)

(a) P(student will graduate | student is female)

(b) P(student will graduate and student is female)

(c) P(student will graduate | student is male)

(d) P(student will graduate and student is male)

(e) P(student will graduate). Note that those who will graduate are either males who will graduate or females who will graduate.

(f) The events described the phrases “will graduate and is female” and “will graduate, given female” seem to be describing the same students. Why are the probabilities P(will graduate and is female) and P(will graduate | female) different?

[ ] -The term and refers to the sample space of all students, while the term given refers to restricting the sample space to females only.

[ ] -These probabilities are the same.

[ ] -This is by chance. These probabilities are typically the same.

[ ] -The term given refers to the sample space of all students, while the term and refers to restricting the sample space to females only.

 
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