p1 = 0.352 makes change indifferent with letting the project go or going ahead with it, it will be substituted until the EMV are the same for both letting it go or going as planned
b) | p1 = 0.352 makes change indifferent with letting the project go or going ahead with it, it will be substituted until the EMV are the same for both letting it go or going as planned | |||
c | EMV with knowledge | = | $85,600 | |
EMV without knowledge | = | $4,500 | ||
Benefit | = | $81,100 | ||
d | change decides to use exponential utility function | |||
When you change the R-value, it can be assumed and noticed that the risk tolerance value of $560,000,000 and higher change will continue | ||||
entire worksheet | ||||
prob in successful R&D | 0.352 | |||
prob winning contract with new tech | 0.8 | |||
winning contract with old tech | 0.1 | |||
Benefit from winning | $1,000,000 | |||
Cost of R&D | $200,000 | |||
cost of proposal(successful R&D) | $50,000 | |||
cost of proposal( not successful R&D) | $40,000 | |||
cost of production | $150,000 | |||
Risk Tolerance | $570,000,000 | |||
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