reducing the overall number of pregnancies in a highly populated area
Question
An investigator wants to determine if a new program aimed at reducing the overall number of pregnancies in a
highly populated area is effective (reducing average births below 6 per household). In order to carry out the investigation, the investigator conducts a simple random sample of 19 participants in the program and finds the average number of births is 4.7 with a sample standard deviation of 0.9 births. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the average number of births per household in this study. Provide a correct interpretation of your interval.
Parameter of interest
Point estimate
(statistic)
Large samples – all samples are of size 25 or more
Hypothesis testing
CI formulas
Statistic ± (z or t multiplier)*SE
H0 and Ha
Test statistic
Z or t = μ
H0: μ= μ0 vs
Ha: μ<μ0, μ μ0 or μ> μ0
Z =
p
H0:p = p0 vs
Ha: p<p0, p p0 or p> p0
Z = if n > 5
if n > 5
μ 1 – μ2 independent samples
–
H0: μ 1 – μ2 = D0 vs
Ha: μ 1 – μ2 <D0, μ 1 – μ2 D0 or μ 1 – μ2 > D0 -most times D0 = 0
Z =
μ d =μ 1 – μ2
matched pairs
D(delta)
H0: μ d = μ 1 – μ2 = D0 vs
Ha: μ 1 – μ2 <D0, μ 1 – μ2 D0 or μ 1 – μ2 > D0 -most times D0 = 0
Z =
p1 -p2
–
H0: p 1 – p2 = 0 vs
Ha: p 1 – p2 <0, p1 – p2 0 or p1 – p2 > 0 -most times D0 = 0
Z = , with P=, where x1, x2 are # of successes from samples 1 and 2 respectively.
–
Parameter of interest
Point estimate
Small samples – at least one less than 25
Hypothesis testing
CI formula
Assumptions/conditions
μ
H0: μ= μ0 vs
Ha: μ<μ0, μ μ0 or μ> μ0
t = , df=n-1
)
Population of X is
normal
or
symmetric with n between 5 and 10
or
skewed with n at least 30
p
μ 1 – μ2 independent samples
–
H0: μ 1 – μ2 = D0 vs
Ha: μ 1 – μ2 <D0, μ 1 – μ2 D0 or μ 1 – μ2 > D0 -most times D0 = 0
t = with df = + n2 -2
and squared = , where s1 ,s2 are sample standard deviations of samples 1 and 2 .
–
1.Populations of both X1 and X2 are normal
2.Variances of X1 and X2 are equal
3.X1 and X2 are independent.
μ d =μ 1 – μ2
matched pairs
D(delta)
H0: μ d = μ 1 – μ2 = D0
Ha: μ 1 – μ2 <D0, μ 1 – μ2 D0 or μ 1 – μ2 > D0 -most times D0 = 0
Population of deltas is normal
or
symmetric with n between 5 and 10.
or
skewed with n at least 30.
Hypothesis Testing CI s and sample size formulas and some definitions
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