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A portfolio has a 95% certainty that it won’t lose more than $50,000 in a given day. On the big loss days, there is a 30% chance the portfolio will lose $50,000 and a 70% chance it will loose $75,000. What is the portfolio’s expected shortfall?

A portfolio has a 95% certainty that it won’t lose more than $50,000

in a given day. On the big loss days, there is a 30% chance the portfolio will lose $50,000 and a 70% chance it will loose $75,000. What is the portfolio’s expected shortfall?

 
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