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ACFI 720W week 9 reflection paper

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[ Society of Actuaries Research Brief Impact of COVID-19 March 10, 2020 March 2020 2 Society of Actuaries Research Brief Impact of COVID-19 March 10, 2020 AUTHOR R. Dale Hall, FSA, MAAA, CERA, CFA REVIEWERS Mervyn Kopinsky, FSA, EA, MAAA Cynthia S. MacDonald, FSA, MAAA Max J. Rudolph, FSA, MAAA, CERA Steven C. Siegel, ASA, MAAA Ronora E. Stryker, ASA, MAAA Caveat and Disclaimer This study is published by the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and contains information from a variety of sources. The study is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as professional or financial advice. The SOA does not recommend or endorse any particular use of the information provided in this study. The SOA makes no warranty, express or implied, or representation whatsoever and assumes no liability in connection with the use or misuse of this study. Copyright © 2020 by the Society of Actuaries. All rights reserved. Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS Section 1: Introduction …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 4 Section 2: Key Statistics ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 5 Reported Cases ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….5 Mortality Rates ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..5 Comparison to Past Pandemics and Influenza ……………………………………………………………………………………………..5 Health Care Cost and Utilization ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..6 Infection Spread Rate ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….6 Section 3: Economic and Asset Impact ………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 7 Macroeconomic Variables…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………7 Asset Values and Volatility ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..8 Low Interest Rate Environment …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………8 Reinvestment Risk ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………8 Section 4: Operational Risks…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 9 Remote Work ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….9 Internet Service Provider Capacity……………………………………………………………………………………………………………..9 Cyber Risk

 
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