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After plotting demand for four periods, an emergency room manager

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After plotting demand for four periods, an emergency room manager has concluded that a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing model is appropriate to predict future demand. The initial estimate of trend is based on the net change of 30 for the three periods from 1 to 4, for an average of +10 units.

Period Actual Period Actual
1 207 6 269
2 228 7 276
3 222 8 282
4 237 9 290
5 253 10

Use α=.5 and β=.1, and TAF of 250 for period 5. Obtain forecasts for periods 6 through 10. (Round your intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal places.)

 
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