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process of building a bivariate regression

Question

In comparing the process of building a bivariate regression with a multiple-regression model, each begins by

identifying what variable?

A.The causal variable

B.The dependent variable

C.The independent variable

D.The constant variable

What should you consider if you are selecting independent variables for a multiple regression model?

A.The selection should be based on an understanding of the nature of the situation.

B.The coefficient of determination should be used to determine the explanatory power of the model.

C.The overlap in two or more independent variables will influence the dependent variable.

D.The logical selection will be based on the algebraic sign for each variable in the model.

In which of the following scenarios would a dummy variable be most useful?

A.What if we increase the price of greeting cards by 5%?

B.What if we stop selling greeting cards?

C.How have Valentine’s Day greeting cards affected our monthly sales for the past two years?

D.How do our greeting cards sales compare to our pencil sales?

A dummy variable has which one of the following characteristics:

A. It takes on a value of either 0 or 1 and replaces the independent variable.

B.It can be used to account for seasonality or other qualitative attributes.

C.It will have a value of 1 if the condition does not exist for an observation.

D.It will have a value of 0 if the condition does exist for an observation.

 
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the process for regression forecasting

Question

2 Which one of the following statements is true about the second step in the process for regression

forecasting?

  • An analyst must determine whether the relationship is statistically significant based on a t-test.
  • An analyst must evaluate the model for serial correlation.
  • An analyst must evaluate the explanatory power of the model.
  • An analyst must evaluate whether the model is logical.

3 A negative serial correlation exists when a _______________ error is followed by a _______________ error.

  • negative, positive
  • negative, negative
  • positive, positive
  • positive, negative

4 Which one of the following correctly explains the difference between a trend model and a causal model?

  • A trend model uses a form of smoothing analysis to project the past time trend forward while the causal model looks at a change in an independent variable that causes a change in a dependent variable.
  • A trend model looks at the past time trend to apply regression analysis while the causal model looks at a change in a dependent variable that causes a change in an independent variable.
  • A trend model identifies the factors causing change and places them into a bivariate regression model while the causal model matches the slope of the trend through an independent variable tied to a dependent variable’s change.
  • A trend model tracks the past time trend and projects it forward while the causal model looks at a change in an independent variable that causes a change in a dependent variable.

5 Why is the first step in the regression model evaluation so important?

  • We desire the explanatory power of the model to be at least 84% of the variation in the dependent variable.
  • We want the relationship to be statistically significant at the desired level of confidence.
  • We would never want to use a relationship that does not conform to business/economic logic.
  • We need to determine if the Durbin-Watson test is within our range of zero to four to rule out serial correlation.

6 Visualization of data allows you to ____________________.

  • be as transparent to management as required
  • see stark differences that would not be apparent from the descriptive statistics
  • better understand if you need more data
  • more clearly identify the dependent and independent variables

7 What is heteroscedasticity?

  • When the error terms in the population regression have a constant variance across all values of the independent variable.
  • When the scatter plot of residuals falls in a horizontal band.
  • When the standard errors of the regression coefficients may be underestimated causing the calculated t-ratios to be larger than they should be.
  • When the scatter plot of residuals falls in a vertical band.

8 What assumption does the causal model make?

  • Changes only occur in the variable to be forecast, but that change is not related to the independent variable.
  • No changes occur.
  • Changes in the independent variable will cause a change in the variable to be forecast.
  • Changes in the dependent variable will cause changes to other dependent variables.

9 Heteroscedasticity is more common with _______________ data than with _______________ data?

  • time-series, cross-sectional
  • cross-sectional, time-series
  • qualitative, quantitative
  • cross-sectional, qualitative

10 What is the primary purpose of the third step when you are evaluating a linear regression model?

 
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interest

Question

Your uncle borrows $51,000 from the bank at 9 percent interest over the seven-year life of the loan. Use

Appendix D for an approximate answer but calculate your final answer using the formula and financial calculator methods

.What equal annual payments must be made to discharge the loan, plus pay the bank its required rate of interes

 
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The Customer Service Center

Question

The Customer Service Center in a large New York department store has determined

that the amount of time spent with a customer about a complaint is normally distributed, with a mean of 9.9 minutes and a standard deviation of 2.9 minutes. What is the probability that for a randomly chosen customer with a complaint, the amount of time spent resolving the complaint will be as follows. (Round your answers to four decimal places.)

A) Less than 10 Minutes

B) Longer than 5 minutes

C) Between 8 and 15 minutes

 
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